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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, DC 20549

______________________________________

FORM 10-Q

______________________________________

☒			QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2022

or

☐			TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from              to         

    

Commission file number 001-09718

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

___________________________________________________________

Pennsylvania						25-1435979
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)						(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

The Tower at PNC Plaza, 300 Fifth Avenue, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15222-2401

(Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)

(888) 762-2265

(Registrant’s telephone number including area code)

(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)

___________________________________________________________

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each Class			Trading Symbol(s)			Name of Each Exchange     on Which Registered
Common Stock, par value $5.00			PNC			New York Stock Exchange
Depositary Shares Each Representing a 1/4,000 Interest in a Share of Fixed-to-     Floating Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series P			PNC P			New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes  ☒    No  ☐

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files).    Yes  ☒    No  ☐

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer”, “accelerated filer”, “smaller reporting company”, and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

Large accelerated filer

☒

Accelerated filer

☐

Non-accelerated filer

☐

Smaller reporting company

☐

Emerging growth company

☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.    ☐

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).

    Yes  ☐  No  ☒

As of April 13, 2022, there were 413,580,759 shares of the registrant’s common stock ($5 par value) outstanding.

---

THE PNC FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP, INC.

Cross-Reference Index to First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q

			Pages
PART I – FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1.   Financial Statements (Unaudited).
Consolidated Income Statement			44
Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income			45
Consolidated Balance Sheet			46
Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows			47
Notes To Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited)
Note 1 Accounting Policies			49
Note 2 Acquisition Activity			51
Note 3  Investment Securities			52
Note 4  Loans and Related Allowance for Credit Losses			55
Note 5   Loan Sale and Servicing Activities and Variable Interest Entities			64
Note 6  Goodwill and Mortgage Servicing Rights			66
Note 7 Leases			67
Note 8 Commitments			68
Note 9 Total Equity and Other Comprehensive Income			69
Note 10 Earnings Per Share			70
Note 11 Fair Value			71
Note 12 Financial Derivatives			78
Note 13 Legal Proceedings			83
Note 14 Segment Reporting			84
Note 15 Fee-based Revenue from Contracts with Customers			86
Note 16 Subsequent Events			89
Statistical Information (Unaudited)
Average Consolidated Balance Sheet And Net Interest Analysis			90
Reconciliation of Taxable-Equivalent Net Interest Income (Non-GAAP)			92
Glossary			92
Defined Terms			92
Acronyms			92
Item 2.    Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A).
Financial Review			1
Consolidated Financial Highlights			1
Executive Summary			2
Consolidated Income Statement Review			5
Consolidated Balance Sheet Review			9
Business Segments Review			13
Risk Management			21
Recent Regulatory Developments			38
Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgments			38
Internal Controls and Disclosure Controls and Procedures			41
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information			42
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk.			21-38, 49-50 and 78-83
Item 4. Controls and Procedures.			41
PART II – OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1.    Legal Proceedings.			92
Item 1A.   Risk Factors.			92
Item 2.     Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds.			93
Item 6.      Exhibits.			94
Exhibit Index			94
Corporate Information			94
Signature			96

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MD&A TABLE REFERENCE
Table			Description			Page
1			Consolidated Financial Highlights			1
2			Summarized Average Balances and Net Interest Income			6
3			Noninterest Income			7
4			Noninterest Expense			8
5			Provision for (Recapture of) Credit Losses			8
6			Summarized Balance Sheet Data			9
7			Loans			10
8			Investment Securities			11
9			Weighted-Average Expected Maturities of Mortgage and Asset-Backed Debt Securities			11
10			Details of Funding Sources			12
11			Retail Banking Table			14
12			Corporate & Institutional Banking Table			17
13			Asset Management Group Table			20
14			Details of Loans			21
15			Commercial and Industrial Loans by Industry			22
16			Commercial Real Estate Loans by Geography and Property Type			23
17			Residential Real Estate Loan Statistics			24
18			Home Equity Loan Statistics			25
19			Auto Loan Statistics			25
20			Nonperforming Assets by Type			26
21			Change in Nonperforming Assets			26
22			Accruing Loans Past Due			27
23			Summary of Troubled Debt Restructurings			28
24			Allowance for Credit Losses by Loan Class			29
25			Loan Charge-Offs and Recoveries			30
26			Senior and Subordinated Debt			31
27			PNC Bank Notes Redeemed			31
28			Parent Company Notes Redeemed			32
29			Credit Ratings for PNC and PNC Bank			33
30			Basel III Capital			34
31			Interest Sensitivity Analysis			35
32			Net Interest Income Sensitivity to Alternative Rate Scenarios			35
33			Alternate Interest Rate Scenarios: One Year Forward			36
34			Equity Investments Summary			37
35			Key Macroeconomic Variables in CECL Weighted-Average Scenarios			40

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS TABLE REFERENCE
Table			Description			Page
36			Acquisition Consideration			51
37			Investment Securities Summary			52
38			Gross Unrealized Loss and Fair Value of Securities Available for Sale Without an Allowance for Credit Losses			53
39			Gains (Losses) on Sales of Securities Available for Sale			53
40			Contractual Maturity of Debt Securities			54
41			Fair Value of Securities Pledged and Accepted as Collateral			54
42			Analysis of Loan Portfolio			56
43			Nonperforming Assets			57
44			Commercial Credit Quality Indicators			58
45			Credit Quality Indicators for Residential Real Estate and Home Equity Loan Classes			59
46			Credit Quality Indicators for Automobile, Credit Card, Education and Other Consumer Loan Classes			61
47			Financial Impact and TDRs by Concession Type			63
48			Rollforward of Allowance for Credit Losses			63
49			Cash Flows Associated with Loan Sale and Servicing Activities			64
50			Principal Balance, Delinquent Loans and Net Charge-offs Related to Serviced Loans For Others			65
51			Non-Consolidated VIEs			65
52			Mortgage Servicing Rights			66
53			Commercial Mortgage Servicing Rights – Key Valuation Assumptions			67
54			Residential Mortgage Servicing Rights – Key Valuation Assumptions			67
55			Lessor Income			67
56			Commitments to Extend Credit and Other Commitments			68
57			Rollforward of Total Equity			69
58			Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)			69
59			Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) Components			70
60			Dividends Per Share			70
61			Basic and Diluted Earnings Per Common Share			70
62			Fair Value Measurements – Recurring Basis Summary			71
63			Reconciliation of Level 3 Assets and Liabilities			72
64			Fair Value Measurements – Recurring Quantitative Information			74
65			Fair Value Measurements – Nonrecurring			76
66			Fair Value Option – Fair Value and Principal Balances			76
67			Fair Value Option – Changes in Fair Value			77
68			Additional Fair Value Information Related to Other Financial Instruments			77
69			Total Gross Derivatives			79
70			Gains (Losses) Recognized on Fair Value and Cash Flow Hedges in the Consolidated Income Statement			80
71			Hedged Items - Fair Value Hedges			81
72			Gains (Losses) on Derivatives Not Designated for Hedging			81
73			Derivative Assets and Liabilities Offsetting			82
74			Credit-Risk Contingent Features			83
75			Results of Businesses			85
76			In-Scope Noninterest Income by Business Segment and Reconciliation to Consolidated Noninterest Income			87

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FINANCIAL REVIEW

THE PNC FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP, INC.

This Financial Review, including the Consolidated Financial Highlights, should be read together with our unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements and unaudited Statistical Information included elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (the Report or Form 10-Q) and with Items 6, 7, 8 and 9A of our 2021 Annual Report on Form 10-K (2021 Form 10-K). We have reclassified certain prior period amounts to conform with the current period presentation, which we believe is more meaningful to readers of our consolidated financial statements. For information regarding certain business, regulatory and legal risks, see the following: the Risk Management section of this Financial Review and of Item 7 in our 2021 Form 10-K; Item 1A Risk Factors included in our 2021 Form 10-K; and the Commitments and Legal Proceedings Notes of the Notes To Consolidated Financial Statements included in Item 1 of this Report and Item 8 of our 2021 Form 10-K. Also, see the Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information section in this Financial Review and the Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgments section in this Financial Review and in our 2021 Form 10-K for certain other factors that could cause actual results or future events to differ, perhaps materially, from historical performance and from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements included in this Report. See Note 14 Segment Reporting in the Notes To Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Report for a reconciliation of total business segment earnings to total PNC consolidated net income as reported on a GAAP basis. In this Report, “PNC”, “we” or “us” refers to The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries on a consolidated basis (except when referring to PNC as a public company, its common stock or other securities issued by PNC, which just refer to The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.). References to The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. or to any of its subsidiaries are specifically made where applicable.

See page 92 for a glossary of certain terms and acronyms used in this Report.

Table 1: Consolidated Financial Highlights

Dollars in millions, except per share data Unaudited			Three months ended
			March 31			December 31			March 31
			2022			2021			2021
Financial Results (a)
Net interest income			$	2,804		$	2,862		$	2,348
Noninterest income			1,888			2,265			1,872
Total revenue			4,692			5,127			4,220
Provision for (recapture of) credit losses			(208)			(327)			(551)
Noninterest expense			3,172			3,791			2,574
Income before income taxes and noncontrolling interests			$	1,728		$	1,663		$	2,197
Income taxes			299			357			371
Net income			$	1,429		$	1,306		$	1,826
Net income attributable to common shareholders			$	1,361		$	1,220		$	1,758
Per Common Share
Basic			$	3.23		$	2.87		$	4.11
Diluted			$	3.23		$	2.86		$	4.10
Book value per common share			$	106.47		$	120.61		$	118.47
Performance Ratios
Net interest margin (b)			2.28		%	2.27		%	2.27		%
Noninterest income to total revenue			40		%	44		%	44		%
Efficiency			68		%	74		%	61		%
Return on:
Average common shareholders’ equity			11.64		%	9.61		%	14.31		%
Average assets			1.05		%	0.93		%	1.58		%

(a)The Executive Summary and Consolidated Income Statement Review portions of this Financial Review section provide information regarding items impacting the comparability of the periods presented.

(b)See explanation and reconciliation of this non-GAAP measure in Average Consolidated Balance Sheet and Net Interest Analysis and Reconciliation of Taxable-Equivalent Net Interest Income (Non-GAAP) in the Statistical Information (Unaudited) section in Item 1 of this Report.

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. – Form 10-Q 1  

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Table 1: Consolidated Financial Highlights (Continued) (a)

Dollars in millions, except as noted Unaudited			March 31 2022			December 31 2021			March 31 2021
Balance Sheet Data
Assets			$	541,246		$	557,191		$	474,414
Loans			$	294,457		$	288,372		$	237,013
Allowance for loan and lease losses			$	4,558		$	4,868		$	4,714
Interest-earning deposits with banks			$	48,776		$	74,250		$	86,161
Investment securities			$	132,411		$	132,962		$	98,255
Total deposits			$	450,197		$	457,278		$	375,067
Borrowed funds			$	26,571		$	30,784		$	33,030
Total shareholders’ equity			$	49,181		$	55,695		$	53,849
Common shareholders’ equity			$	44,170		$	50,685		$	50,331
Other Selected Ratios
Common equity Tier 1			9.9		%	10.3		%	12.6		%
Loans to deposits			65		%	63		%	63		%
Common shareholders’ equity to total assets			8.2		%	9.1		%	10.6		%

(a)The Executive Summary and Consolidated Balance Sheet Review portions of this Financial Review provide information regarding items impacting the comparability of the periods presented.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, we are one of the largest diversified financial institutions in the U.S. We have businesses engaged in retail banking, including residential mortgage, corporate and institutional banking and asset management, providing many of our products and services nationally. Our retail branch network is located coast-to-coast. We also have strategic international offices in four countries outside the U.S.

Key Strategic Goals

At PNC we manage our company for the long term. We are focused on the fundamentals of growing customers, loans, deposits and revenue and improving profitability, while investing for the future and managing risk, expenses and capital. We continue to invest in our products, markets and brand, and embrace our commitments to our customers, shareholders, employees and the communities where we do business.

We strive to serve our customers and expand and deepen relationships by offering a broad range of deposit, credit and fee-based products and services. We are focused on delivering those products and services to our customers with the goal of addressing their financial objectives and needs. Our business model is built on customer loyalty and engagement, understanding our customers’ financial goals and offering our diverse products and services to help them achieve financial well-being. Our approach is concentrated on organically growing and deepening client relationships across our businesses that meet our risk/return measures.

We are focused on our strategic priorities, which are designed to enhance value over the long term, and consist of:

•Expanding our leading banking franchise to new markets and digital platforms,

•Deepening customer relationships by delivering a superior banking experience and financial solutions, and

•Leveraging technology to innovate and enhance products, services, security and processes.

Our capital and liquidity priorities are to support customers, fund business investments and return excess capital to shareholders, while maintaining appropriate capital in light of economic conditions, the Basel III framework and other regulatory expectations. For more detail, see the Capital Highlights portion of this Executive Summary, the Liquidity and Capital Management portion of the Risk Management section of this Financial Review and the Supervision and Regulation section in Item 1 Business of our 2021 Form 10-K.

Presentation of Noninterest Income

Effective for the first quarter of 2022, PNC updated the presentation of its noninterest income categorization to be based on product and service type, and accordingly, has changed the basis of presentation of its noninterest income revenue streams to: (i) Asset management and brokerage, (ii) Capital markets related, (iii) Card and cash management, (iv) Lending and deposit services, (v) Residential and commercial mortgage and (vi) Other noninterest income. For a description of each updated noninterest income revenue stream, see Note 1 Accounting Policies in the Notes To Consolidated Financial Statements included in Item 1 of this Report.

2    The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. – Form 10-Q

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Discussion of Results of Operations

In accordance with the SEC's current rules, PNC has elected to include a linked quarter comparison in the discussion of our consolidated results of operations, beginning in the first quarter of 2022. The new presentation, which will provide meaningful analysis to assess quarterly performance, is reflected in the Consolidated Financial Highlights, Executive Summary and Consolidated Income Statement Review sections of this Financial Review.

Acquisition of BBVA USA Bancshares, Inc.

On June 1, 2021, PNC acquired BBVA USA Bancshares Inc. (BBVA), a U.S. financial holding company conducting its business operations primarily through its U.S. banking subsidiary, BBVA USA. PNC paid $11.5 billion in cash as consideration for the acquisition.

On October 8, 2021, BBVA USA merged into PNC Bank. On October 12, 2021, PNC converted approximately 2.6 million customers, 9,000 employees and over 600 branches across seven states. Our results for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021 reflect the benefit of BBVA's acquired business operations. PNC's balance sheets at March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021 include BBVA's balances.

For additional information on the acquisition of BBVA, see Note 2 Acquisition and Divestiture Activity in the Notes To Consolidated Financial Statements included in Item 1 of this Report and Item 8 of our 2021 Form 10-K.

Income Statement Highlights

Net income of $1.4 billion, or $3.23 per diluted common share for the first quarter of 2022 increased $123 million, or 9%, compared to $1.3 billion, or $2.86 per diluted common share for the fourth quarter of 2021, driven by lower integration costs and well-controlled expenses.

•For the three months ended March 31, 2022 compared to the three months ended December 31, 2021:

•Total revenue decreased $435 million, or 8%, to $4.7 billion.

•Net interest income of $2.8 billion decreased $58 million, or 2%, as increased securities balances, loans outstanding and securities yields were more than offset by a decline in PPP loan interest income and two fewer days in the quarter.

•Net interest margin increased 1 basis point to 2.28%.

•Noninterest income decreased $377 million, or 17%, to $1.9 billion, primarily due to declines in capital markets related fees, private equity revenue and commercial mortgage banking activities.

•Provision recapture was $208 million for the first quarter of 2022, primarily driven by the impacts from improved COVID-19 related economic conditions. Provision recapture was $327 million for the fourth quarter of 2021.

•Noninterest expense decreased $619 million, or 16%, to $3.2 billion, primarily driven by lower integration expenses, personnel costs and seasonally lower business activity.

Net income decreased $397 million, or 22%, compared to $1.8 billion, or $4.10 per diluted common share for the first quarter of 2021, primarily as a result of higher expenses and a lower provision recapture, partially offset by higher net interest income.

•For the three months ended March 31, 2022 compared to the same period in 2021:

•Total revenue increased $472 million, or 11%, reflecting the addition of BBVA.

•Net interest income increased $456 million, or 19%, as a result of higher interest-earning assets, partially offset by lower securities and loan yields.

•Net interest margin increased 1 basis point.

•Noninterest income increased $16 million, primarily due to the addition of BBVA customers, higher treasury management product revenue and increased asset management and brokerage fees, partially offset by a decline in advisory and underwriting fees and lower private equity revenue.

•Noninterest expense increased $598 million, or 23%, primarily driven by the addition of BBVA operating expenses.

For additional detail, see the Consolidated Income Statement Review section of this Financial Review.

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. – Form 10-Q 3  

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Balance Sheet Highlights

Our balance sheet was strong and well positioned at March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021. In comparison to December 31, 2021:

•Total assets decreased $15.9 billion, or 3%, to $541.2 billion.

•Total loans increased $6.1 billion, or 2%, to $294.5 billion.

•Total commercial loans increased $5.2 billion, or 3%, to $198.3 billion, driven by increased utilization of loan commitments and new production, partially offset by PPP loan forgiveness.

•PPP loans outstanding were $1.8 billion and $3.4 billion at March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.

•Total consumer loans increased $0.9 billion to $96.2 billion, resulting from increased originations of residential mortgages and home equity loans, partially offset by declines in the remaining portfolios as paydowns outpaced new originations.

•Investment securities decreased $0.6 billion to $132.4 billion, as net purchases during the quarter were more than offset by net unrealized losses on available for sale securities, reflecting the impact of higher interest rates.

•Interest-earning deposits with banks, primarily with the Federal Reserve Bank, decreased $25.5 billion, or 34%, to $48.8 billion, due to securities purchases, lower deposits and borrowed funds and higher loans outstanding.

•Total deposits decreased $7.1 billion, to $450.2 billion as a result of lower commercial deposits, primarily due to seasonal declines, partially offset by consumer deposit growth.

•Borrowed funds decreased $4.2 billion, or 14%, to $26.6 billion, primarily due to lower bank notes and senior debt.

For additional detail, see the Consolidated Balance Sheet Review section of this Financial Review.

Credit Quality Highlights

Overall credit quality metrics strengthened during the first quarter of 2022.

•At March 31, 2022 compared to December 31, 2021:

•Nonperforming assets of $2.3 billion decreased $182 million, or 7%, driven by lower commercial nonperforming loans.

•Overall loan delinquencies of $1.7 billion decreased $286 million, or 14%, driven by lower consumer and commercial delinquencies, which reflect progress in resolving BBVA conversion-related administrative and operational delays.

•The ACL related to loans, which consists of the ALLL and the allowance for unfunded lending related commitments, decreased to $5.2 billion, or 1.76% of total loans, at March 31, 2022, compared to $5.5 billion, or 1.92% of total loans at December 31, 2021. The decrease was primarily driven by the impacts from improved COVID-19 related economic conditions.

•Net charge-offs of $137 million, or 0.19% of average loans in the first quarter of 2022 increased $13 million, or 10%, compared to $124 million, or 0.17% of average loans, for the fourth quarter of 2021.

For additional detail see the Credit Risk Management portion of the Risk Management section of this Financial Review.

Capital Highlights

We maintained our strong capital position.

•Common shareholders' equity of $44.2 billion at March 31, 2022, decreased $6.5 billion, or 13%, compared to December 31, 2021 as net income was more than offset by a decrease in AOCI, primarily reflecting the impact of higher rates on net unrealized securities losses, as well as share repurchases and dividends paid in the first quarter.

•In the first quarter, we returned $1.7 billion of capital to shareholders through common share repurchases of $1.2 billion, representing 6.4 million shares, and dividends on common shares of $0.5 billion.

•The SCB framework allows for capital returns in amounts up to the level of capital in excess of the SCB minimum. Consistent with the flexibility provided under the SCB framework, our Board of Directors has recently authorized a new share repurchase structure, under the already approved authorization for repurchases of up to 100 million common shares, of which approximately 64% were still available at March 31, 2022. This structure allows for the continuation of our recent quarterly average share repurchase levels as well as the flexibility to increase those levels should conditions warrant.

•On April 1, 2022, the PNC Board of Directors raised the quarterly cash dividend on common stock to $1.50 per share, an increase of $0.25 per share, or 20%, effective with the May 5, 2022 dividend payment.

•Our CET1 ratio decreased to 9.9% at March 31, 2022 from 10.3% at December 31, 2021.

•Capital was impacted by our election to delay the estimated impact of CECL on CET1 capital through December 31, 2021, followed by a three-year transition period. CECL’s estimated impact on CET1 capital is defined as the change in retained earnings at adoption plus or minus 25% of the change in CECL ACL at the balance sheet date, excluding the initial allowance for PCD loans from BBVA, compared to CECL ACL at adoption. Effective for the first quarter

4    The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. – Form 10-Q

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of 2022, PNC is now in the three-year transition period, and the full impact of the CECL standard is being phased-in to regulatory capital over the next three years.

See the Liquidity and Capital Management portion of the Risk Management section of this Financial Review for more detail on our 2022 liquidity and capital actions as well as our capital ratios.

PNC’s ability to take certain capital actions, including returning capital to shareholders, is subject to PNC meeting or exceeding an SCB established by the Federal Reserve Board in connection with the Federal Reserve Board’s CCAR process. For additional information, see Capital Management in the Risk Management section in this Financial Review and the Supervision and Regulation section in Item 1 Business and Item 1A Risk Factors of our 2021 Form 10-K.

Business Outlook

Statements regarding our business outlook are forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our forward-looking financial statements are subject to the risk that economic and financial market conditions will be substantially different than those we are currently expecting and do not take into account potential legal and regulatory contingencies. These statements are based on our views that:

•The U.S. economy continues to recover from the pandemic-caused recession in the first half of 2020. Growth is likely to remain above the economy's long-run average throughout this year. Consumer spending growth will remain solid in 2022 due to good underlying fundamentals.

•Supply chain difficulties will gradually ease over the course of 2022. Labor shortages will remain a constraint this year, although strong wage growth will support consumer spending.

•Inflation accelerated in the second half of 2021 to its fastest pace in decades due to strong demand but limited supplies coming out of the pandemic for some goods and services. Higher energy prices are adding to inflationary pressures in the first half of 2022. Inflation will slow in the second half of 2022 as pandemic-related supply and demand imbalances recede and energy prices stabilize. However, inflation will also broaden throughout the economy due to wage growth. The annual inflation rate will end 2022 above the Federal Reserve's long-run objective of 2%.

•PNC expects the FOMC to raise the fed funds rate by 0.50% in May, 0.25% in June, 0.50% in July, 0.25% in September and 0.25% in December to reach a range of 2.00% to 2.25% by the end of the year. The FOMC will then further increase the fed funds rate in 2023. Also, the Federal Reserve will start to reduce its balance sheet in the next few months.

•Uncertainty about the outlook has increased with the Russian invasion of Ukraine. It has created additional risk to higher inflation this year, which could lead the FOMC to tighten more aggressively than currently anticipated. In addition, risks to growth and the likelihood of a recession in late 2022 or 2023 have increased.

For the second quarter of 2022, compared to the first quarter of 2022, we expect:

•Average loans to be up 2% to 3%,

•Net interest income to be up 10% to 12%,

•Noninterest income, excluding net securities gains and Visa activity, to be up 6% to 8%,

•Revenue to be up 9% to 11%,

•Noninterest expense to be up 3% to 5%, and

•Net loan charge-offs to be between $125 million and $175 million.

For the full year 2022, compared to full year 2021, we expect:

•Average loans to be up approximately 10%,

•Period-end loans to be up approximately 5%,

•Revenue to be up 9% to 11%,